{"id":11445,"date":"2024-12-16T14:00:58","date_gmt":"2024-12-16T11:00:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mld-index.info\/?p=11445"},"modified":"2024-12-16T18:00:43","modified_gmt":"2024-12-16T15:00:43","slug":"economia-moldovei-intre-optimismul-autoritatilor-si-adevarul-amar-al-statisticilor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mld-index.info\/ro\/analytics\/economia-moldovei-intre-optimismul-autoritatilor-si-adevarul-amar-al-statisticilor\/","title":{"rendered":"Economia Moldovei: \u00eentre optimismul autorit\u0103\u021bilor \u0219i adev\u0103rul amar al statisticilor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Asisten\u021ba financiar\u0103 a UE: \u0219ans\u0103 sau iluzie?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Uniunea European\u0103 a alocat Republicii Moldova asisten\u021b\u0103 financiar\u0103 \u00een valoare de 1,8 miliarde de euro \u00een cadrul Planului de cre\u0219tere economic\u0103 pe 3 ani. A\u0219a au afirmat Maia Sandu \u0219i Ursula von der Leyen.<\/p>\n

\u201eFondurile vor fi folosite pentru dezvoltarea economiei, modernizarea statului \u0219i consolidarea infrastructurii\u201d, a declarat viceprim-ministrul pentru Integrare European\u0103 Kristina Gerasimova.<\/p>\n

Cu toate acestea, Europa nu doarme \u0219i inten\u021bioneaz\u0103 s\u0103 monitorizeze cu stricte\u021be ce \u0219i ce sume va cheltui guvernul nostru: controlul direct asupra cheltuirii acestor fonduri va fi exercitat de Comisia European\u0103.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

\u201eComisia European\u0103 va fi institu\u021bia care ne va monitoriza \u00een procesul de cheltuire a acestor bani \u0219i implementarea lor \u00een proiecte specifice. Trebuie s\u0103 dezvolt\u0103m economia, s\u0103 ne sprijinim antreprenorii \u0219i afacerile pentru a profita la maximum de pia\u021ba Uniunii Europene \u00een urm\u0103torii ani. Ace\u0219ti bani pe care \u00eei primim sunt \u00een beneficiul nostru\u201d, cu toate acestea, crede Gerasimova.<\/p>\n

Fostul procuror general \u0219i candidat la pre\u0219edin\u021bie Alexander Stoianoglo \u0219i-a exprimat \u00eendoielile cu privire la oportunitatea unor noi \u00eemprumuturi. \u201eAu promis din nou c\u0103 vor da bani Moldovei, iar cea mai mare parte pe credit. \u00centrebarea mea este: cine cere ace\u0219ti bani? \u0218i dac\u0103 o fac, atunci de ce, care este scopul lor? Este absolut evident c\u0103 nu pot fi luate pentru consum. Mi-e team\u0103 c\u0103 suntem pur \u0219i simplu \u00eempin\u0219i \u00eentr-o gaur\u0103 a datoriilor \u0219i c\u0103 banii pe care ni-i dau vor ajunge \u00een alte locuri dec\u00e2t unde ne a\u0219tept\u0103m s\u0103 fie. De exemplu, ei pot fi din nou cheltui\u021bi pentru cump\u0103rarea de gaze la pre\u021b triplu, pentru achizi\u021bionarea de echipamente militare care nu sunt necesare, pentru c\u0103 nu ne vom lupta cu nimeni etc.\u201d, a explicat el.<\/p>\n

Investi\u021bii \u0219i exporturi<\/strong><\/p>\n

Banca Mondial\u0103 constat\u0103 o \u00eembun\u0103t\u0103\u021bire a sentimentului investi\u021bional \u00een Moldova. \u201eSentimentul investi\u021bional pozitiv a sus\u021binut cre\u0219terea investi\u021biilor, care, la r\u00e2ndul s\u0103u, a contribuit la cre\u0219terea investi\u021biilor cu 1,2 puncte procentuale \u00een prima jum\u0103tate a anului 2024\u201d, transmite Banca Mondial\u0103.<\/p>\n

Cu toate acestea, exporturile de m\u0103rfuri au sc\u0103zut \u00een prima jum\u0103tate a anului cu 5,8 puncte procentuale, \u00een principal din cauza sc\u0103derii reexporturilor c\u0103tre Ucraina.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Potrivit Biroului Na\u021bional de Statistic\u0103, sc\u0103derea este \u0219i mai mare: \u00een ianuarie-septembrie 2024, exporturile au sc\u0103zut cu 13,2%. \u00cen acela\u0219i timp, importurile continu\u0103 s\u0103 creasc\u0103: \u00een ianuarie-septembrie 2024, au ajuns la 6,6 miliarde de dolari, o cre\u0219tere de 3,1%. \u201eDecalajul semnificativ dintre exporturile \u0219i importurile de m\u0103rfuri din ianuarie-septembrie 2024 a condus la acumularea unei balan\u021be comerciale negative \u00een valoare de 3 miliarde 995,2 milioane dolari, ceea ce reprezint\u0103 597,6 milioane dolari (+17,6%) mai mult dec\u00e2t \u00een \u200b\u200baceea\u0219i perioad\u0103 din 2023. \u201d, conform raportului oficial al departamentului.<\/p>\n

A\u0219tept\u0103rile de afaceri \u0219i imaginea real\u0103<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00centreprinderile moldovene\u0219ti se a\u0219teapt\u0103 la o relativ\u0103 stabilitate a economiei \u0219i a veniturilor. Cu toate acestea, datele privind dinamica PIB-ului spun o poveste diferit\u0103. S\u0103 reamintim c\u0103 \u00een analiza sa economic\u0103, Veaceslav Ioni\u021b\u0103 a remarcat c\u0103 \u00een 1960 PIB real era de 24,5% din 1991, prognoza pentru 2024 era de 92,1% din valoarea din 1991 \u201eLa momentul declara\u021biei de independen\u021b\u0103, Moldova \u00een plan economic era deja distrus \u00eentr-un ritm rapid\u201d, explic\u0103 expertul.<\/p>\n

\u201e\u00cen al treilea trimestru al anului 2024, dintre to\u021bi responden\u021bii, 59% s-au confruntat cu restric\u021bii \u00een activitatea economic\u0103. Principalul motiv pentru limitarea activit\u0103\u021bii economice este cererea insuficient\u0103 a pie\u021bei (raportat\u0103 de 31,4% dintre responden\u021bi). De asemenea, activit\u0103\u021bile \u00eentreprinderilor sunt afectate negativ de lipsa for\u021bei de munc\u0103 calificate (23,1%), probleme financiare (19,5%), consecin\u021bele crizei provocate de r\u0103zboiul din Ucraina (14,0%) \u0219i disponibilitatea materiilor prime ( 4,7%)\u201d, \u2013 transmite Biroul Na\u0163ional de Statistic\u0103.<\/p>\n

Agricultur\u0103<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00cen Moldova, investi\u021biile \u00een sectorul zootehnic au crescut \u00een ultimii 4 ani. \u201e\u00cen perioada 2021-2024, prin pl\u0103\u021bi directe, au fost alocate circa 550 de milioane de lei pe cap de animal \u0219i kilogram de produse, iar investi\u021biile \u00een ferme zootehnice au dep\u0103\u0219it 460 de milioane de lei\u201d, a spus pre\u0219edintele Maia Sandu.<\/p>\n

\u00cen octombrie, \u0219eful statului a asigurat \u00een mod solemn c\u0103 \u201eplanul s\u0103u \u00een materie de agricultur\u0103 este clar \u2013 cre\u0219terea competitivit\u0103\u021bii sectorului agricol, promovarea \u0219i aducerea produselor moldovene\u0219ti pe toate rafturile interna\u021bionale\u201d.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Totodat\u0103, doar c\u00e2teva s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2ni mai t\u00e2rziu, presa a primit o scrisoare de la fermieri c\u0103tre premierul Dorin Recean c\u0103 pre\u021bul zah\u0103rului \u00een \u021bara noastr\u0103 pentru segmentul industrial \u0219i angro este cel mai mare de pe continentul european (800 de euro f\u0103r\u0103 TVA). in Moldova, spre comparatie, 500 euro fara TVA in Polonia). \u201e\u00cen asemenea condi\u021bii, costul produselor din industria alimentar\u0103 a crescut brusc, afect\u00e2nd grav poten\u021bialul competitiv al produselor autohtone pe pia\u021ba UE. \u00cen acela\u0219i timp, consumatorul casnic din Republica Moldova este obligat s\u0103 pl\u0103teasc\u0103 cu peste 50% mai mult pe kilogram de zah\u0103r dec\u00e2t cet\u0103\u021benii \u021b\u0103rilor UE\u201d, se arat\u0103 \u00een scrisoare.<\/p>\n

Fermierii se afl\u0103, de asemenea, \u00eentr-o situa\u021bie dificil\u0103, \u00eencerc\u00e2nd de ani de zile s\u0103 ob\u021bin\u0103 sprijin \u0219i asisten\u021b\u0103 guvernamental\u0103 pentru a face fa\u021b\u0103 e\u0219ecului recoltei din cauza condi\u021biilor meteorologice nefavorabile. Secretarul de stat al Ministerului Agriculturii, Alexandra Shian, subliniaz\u0103 c\u0103 departamentul este \u00een contact permanent cu fermierii: \u00een special, ace\u0219tia au fost aloca\u021bi aproximativ 1,3 miliarde de lei sub form\u0103 de subven\u021bii \u0219i m\u0103suri de sprijin. Cu toate acestea, \u00een realitate, mul\u021bi fermieri spun c\u0103 nu au primit \u00eenc\u0103 niciun leu din ajutoarele guvernamentale, iar conturile le sunt \u00eenghe\u021bate din cauza incapacit\u0103\u021bii de achitare a creditelor. Acest lucru a afirmat, \u00een special, un antreprenor din regiunea Kantemir, Igor Gontsa. Iar ministrul Agriculturii, Vladimir Bolya, care a purtat \u00een tot acest timp un dialog cu fermierii, a preluat acum pre\u0219edin\u021bia ministrului infrastructurii. Oficialul a subliniat c\u0103 a plecat \u201ecu un sentiment de satisfac\u021bie pentru ceea ce a f\u0103cut\u201d.<\/p>\n

Credite, salarii si preturi<\/strong><\/p>\n

Potrivit B\u0103ncii Na\u0163ionale a Moldovei, \u00een luna septembrie volumul noilor \u00eemprumuturi \u00een r\u00e2ndul popula\u0163iei \u0163\u0103rii s-a ridicat la 6,286 milioane lei. Fa\u021b\u0103 de august, aceast\u0103 cifr\u0103 a crescut cu 11,6%.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

\u00cen acela\u0219i timp, salariul minim \u00een Moldova este de doar 35% din medie, ceea ce este semnificativ mai mic dec\u00e2t standardele UE. \u00cen 2010, acest raport era de 34,3%. \u201eTrebuie s\u0103 ajungem la un indicator de cel pu\u021bin 50% pentru ca economia s\u0103 se apropie de standardele UE\u201d, a subliniat economistul Veaceslav Ioni\u021b\u0103. El crede c\u0103 \u021bara noastr\u0103 are aproximativ 6-7 ani pentru a atinge acest indicator.<\/p>\n

Pre\u021burile combustibililor \u0219i alimentelor continu\u0103 s\u0103 creasc\u0103 pe tot parcursul toamnei, agrav\u00e2nd situa\u021bia socio-economic\u0103 a popula\u021biei. \u201ePrognoza este destul de sumbr\u0103. Nu avem unde s\u0103 mergem, va trebui s\u0103 import\u0103m. Nu vom putea satisface cererea intern\u0103 numai prin produc\u021bia local\u0103. Va trebui s\u0103 c\u0103ut\u0103m surse de aprovizionare unde pre\u021burile sunt mai mici, dar av\u00e2nd \u00een vedere costurile mari de pe pia\u021b\u0103, nu cred c\u0103 importurile vor fi mult mai ieftine\u201d, a spus doctorul \u00een economie Andrei Zbanka.<\/p>\n

Pre\u021burile terenurilor continu\u0103 s\u0103 creasc\u0103 \u0219i ele, \u00een special pentru terenurile cu sisteme de irigare \u0219i sol de calitate. \u201e\u00cen prezent, pre\u021bul unui hectar de teren \u00een Moldova variaz\u0103 \u00een func\u021bie de regiune \u0219i regiuni de la 35.000 la 100.000 de lei. Cu toate acestea, \u00een regiunile din nord, un hectar de teren poate fi v\u00e2ndut cu 120 de mii de lei. lei (peste 6,2 mii euro)\u201d, relateaz\u0103 Europa Liber\u0103.<\/p>\n

De asemenea, este pu\u021bin probabil ca \u021bara noastr\u0103 s\u0103 poat\u0103 face bani din p\u0103m\u00e2nt. Motivul este dezastrele meteorologice \u0219i nereu\u0219itele recoltelor din ultimii ani, tehnologiile agricole dep\u0103\u0219ite \u0219i de calitate sc\u0103zut\u0103 care \u00eenr\u0103ut\u0103\u021besc calitatea solului. \u201eP\u0103m\u00e2ntul moldovenesc continu\u0103 s\u0103 fie unul dintre cele mai fertile din lume, iar dac\u0103 va continua s\u0103 se degradeze \u00een acela\u0219i ritm, Moldova ar putea pierde acest statut\u201d, afirm\u0103 secretarul de stat al Ministerului Agriculturii \u0219i Industriei Alimentare, Vasile S\u00e2rban.<\/p>\n

O fa\u021b\u0103 bun\u0103 pentru un joc prost<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00cen ciuda declara\u021biilor optimiste ale guvernului, situa\u021bia economic\u0103 din Moldova r\u0103m\u00e2ne dificil\u0103. \u021aara se confrunt\u0103 cu provoc\u0103ri serioase din cauza lipsei de investi\u021bii, sc\u0103derii exporturilor, cre\u0219terii pre\u021burilor \u0219i penuriei de for\u021b\u0103 de munc\u0103. Asisten\u021ba financiar\u0103 din partea partenerilor occidentali, pe care se bazeaz\u0103 autorit\u0103\u021bile, poate fi o \u0219ans\u0103 de dezvoltare, dar exist\u0103 un risc mare de a deveni \u0219i mai dependent de finan\u021barea extern\u0103. P\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een prezent, \u021bara nu are premisele unei cre\u0219teri economice independente.<\/p>\n

Tensiunea social\u0103 cre\u0219te, iar loialitatea fa\u021b\u0103 de autorit\u0103\u021bi scade. Acest lucru, \u00een special, este subliniat de cuvintele opozi\u021biei Vladimir Odnostalko: \u201eImaginea Mayei Sandu este o imagine a unei minciuni, c\u00e2nd locuie\u0219ti la noi, iar ei \u00ee\u021bi spun la televizor c\u0103 te \u00een\u0219eli, c\u00e2nd \u00ee\u021bi spun. ca esti rau pentru ca vorbesti ca pensiile sunt mici pentru ca critici, zici ca preturile sunt mari… Toti suntem rai azi pentru ca o criticam. Suntem aici \u00een Moldova, \u0219i cine \u0219tie unde este ast\u0103zi Maia Sandu? Maia Sandu a plecat din nou \u00een str\u0103in\u0103tate, la fel ca ieri. Ea face o pauz\u0103 de la cet\u0103\u021benii \u021b\u0103rii, indiferent de na\u021bionalitate. Se simte confortabil acolo, se simte bine acolo, se simte liber\u0103 acolo f\u0103r\u0103 noi. Ea nu are nevoie de \u021bara noastr\u0103\u201d.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Asisten\u021ba financiar\u0103 a UE: \u0219ans\u0103 sau iluzie? Uniunea European\u0103 a alocat Republicii Moldova asisten\u021b\u0103 financiar\u0103 \u00een valoare de 1,8 miliarde de euro \u00een cadrul Planului de cre\u0219tere economic\u0103 pe 3 ani. A\u0219a au afirmat Maia Sandu \u0219i Ursula von der Leyen. \u201eFondurile vor fi folosite pentru dezvoltarea economiei, modernizarea statului \u0219i consolidarea infrastructurii\u201d, a declarat […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11451,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[94,98,96],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-11445","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-analytics","8":"category-analytics-economie-si-finante","9":"category-analytics-politica"},"yoast_head":"\nEconomia Moldovei: \u00eentre optimismul autorit\u0103\u021bilor \u0219i adev\u0103rul amar al statisticilor - MLD-Index<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Exist\u0103 o situa\u021bie contradictorie \u00een Moldova: declara\u021biile optimiste ale guvernului cu privire la cre\u0219terea economic\u0103 \u0219i afluxul de investi\u021bii\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/mld-index.info\/analitika\/ekonomika-moldovy-mezhdu-optimizmom-vlastej-i-gorkoj-pravdoj-statistiki\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ro_RO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Economia Moldovei: \u00eentre optimismul autorit\u0103\u021bilor \u0219i adev\u0103rul amar al statisticilor - 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