{"id":12173,"date":"2025-02-04T14:00:57","date_gmt":"2025-02-04T11:00:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mld-index.info\/?p=12173"},"modified":"2025-02-04T21:13:07","modified_gmt":"2025-02-04T18:13:07","slug":"piata-imobiliara-din-moldova-in-2025-noi-riscuri-si-oportunitati","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mld-index.info\/ro\/analytics\/piata-imobiliara-din-moldova-in-2025-noi-riscuri-si-oportunitati\/","title":{"rendered":"Pia\u021ba imobiliar\u0103 din Moldova \u00een 2025: noi riscuri \u0219i oportunit\u0103\u021bi"},"content":{"rendered":"

Taxe noi \u2013 pre\u021buri noi pentru apartamente<\/h3>\n

La sf\u00e2r\u0219itul anului trecut, Guvernul Republicii Moldova a prezentat proiectul Tranzi\u021bie Durabil\u0103 la Eficien\u021ba Energetic\u0103 \u00een Moldova (STEEM) \u00een cadrul programului M-GROW. Cu toate acestea, certificarea obligatorie a cl\u0103dirilor \u0219i auditurile energetice au atras critici din partea proprietarilor \u0219i dezvoltatorilor de propriet\u0103\u021bi.<\/p>\n

Principala problem\u0103 este c\u0103 auditul energetic este pl\u0103tit integral de proprietari, iar costul serviciului, potrivit exper\u021bilor, \u00eencepe de la 35-40 de mii de lei chiar \u0219i pentru obiectele mici. \u00cen plus, un audit va deveni obligatoriu \u00eenainte de fiecare repara\u021bie sau reconstruc\u021bie major\u0103. Dezvoltatorii, \u00eentr-o conversa\u021bie cu mass-media, \u0219i-au exprimat \u00eengrijorarea c\u0103 va fi urmat\u0103 de introducerea unor tarife diferen\u021biate la resursele energetice, care ar afecta inevitabil costul locuin\u021belor \u0219i taxelor.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Apropo, despre sursele de energie. Potrivit expertului economic Veaceslav Ioni\u021b\u0103, costul energiei electrice afecteaz\u0103 indirect ratele dob\u00e2nzilor ipotecare. Pe 3 ianuarie, Agen\u021bia Na\u021bional\u0103 de Reglementare \u00een Energetic\u0103 a stabilit noi tarife mai mari pentru energie electric\u0103 \u00eentr-un num\u0103r de raioane, tarifele au crescut cu 65%.<\/p>\n

La \u00eenceputul anului 2025, guvernul Republicii Moldova a propus introducerea unei \u201etaxe de reglementare\u201d \u00een sectorul construc\u021biilor, care a provocat \u0219i o reac\u021bie puternic\u0103 \u00een r\u00e2ndul exper\u021bilor \u0219i poten\u021bialilor cump\u0103r\u0103tori.<\/p>\n

Veaceslav Ioni\u021b\u0103 consider\u0103 c\u0103 ini\u021biativa va duce la o cre\u0219tere automat\u0103 a pre\u021burilor la apartamente, at\u00e2t noi, c\u00e2t \u0219i vechi. Potrivit acestuia, pre\u021burile medii la apartamentele noi au dep\u0103\u0219it deja 1.500 de euro pe metru p\u0103trat, iar la cele vechi – 1.000 de euro, ceea ce face locuin\u021bele inaccesibile pentru mul\u021bi cet\u0103\u021beni. Ioni\u021b\u0103 subliniaz\u0103 c\u0103 taxa va afecta to\u021bi locuitorii \u021b\u0103rii, nu doar chi\u0219in\u0103uienii, \u0219i solicit\u0103 parlamentului s\u0103 resping\u0103 aceast\u0103 propunere.<\/p>\n

Salt istoric \u00een creditarea ipotecar\u0103<\/h3>\n

\u00cen 2024, pe pia\u021ba credit\u0103rii ipotecare din Moldova a fost stabilit un nou record: moldovenii au contractat \u00eemprumuturi \u00een valoare de 8,1 miliarde de lei, adic\u0103 de 2,5 ori mai mult dec\u00e2t \u00een \u200b\u200b2023. Aceast\u0103 cre\u0219tere se explic\u0103 par\u021bial prin cre\u0219terea num\u0103rului de credite, dar principalul factor a fost cre\u0219terea pre\u021burilor apartamentelor \u0219i a costului mediu al creditelor ipotecare.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Dac\u0103 \u00een 2021 costul mediu al unui \u00eemprumut era de 680 de mii de lei, atunci \u00een trimestrul IV 2024 a ajuns la 1,3 milioane de lei.<\/p>\n

\u00cen ciuda cre\u0219terilor semnificative ale costurilor \u00eendator\u0103rii, povara financiar\u0103 asupra familiilor a r\u0103mas \u00een mare parte neschimbat\u0103, datorit\u0103 cre\u0219terii salariului nominal de 65% \u00een ultimii ani. \u201eMoldovenii au demonstrat o capacitate impresionant\u0103 de adaptare la noile condi\u021bii economice, iar cre\u0219terea puterii de cump\u0103rare a devenit baza unui boom ipotecar. Pia\u021ba din 2024 reflect\u0103 at\u00e2t o dezvoltare semnificativ\u0103, c\u00e2t \u0219i problemele economice aferente\u201d, spune economistul Ioni\u021b\u0103.<\/p>\n

Despre ce probleme vorbim? \u00cen primul r\u00e2nd, o sc\u0103dere a ratei de construc\u021bie. \u00cen 2023, fa\u021b\u0103 de 2022, volumul total al lucr\u0103rilor de construc\u021bii a sc\u0103zut cu 2,5%. Acest lucru a fost raportat de Biroul Na\u021bional de Statistic\u0103, men\u021bion\u00e2nd c\u0103 acest lucru s-a produs din cauza unei reduceri a volumului lucr\u0103rilor de construc\u021bii noi (-14,2%) \u0219i a volumului lucr\u0103rilor la \u00eentre\u021binerea \u0219i repara\u021biile curente (-12%).<\/p>\n

Potrivit Biroului Na\u021bional de Statistic\u0103, declinul economic \u00een sectorul construc\u021biilor \u00een primul trimestru al anului 2025 este estimat la 15%. Veniturile din v\u00e2nz\u0103ri vor sc\u0103dea cu 10%, iar num\u0103rul muncitorilor de pe \u0219antiere va sc\u0103dea \u0219i el cu 8%. \u00cen acela\u0219i timp, managerii prev\u0103d o cre\u0219tere a pre\u021burilor la lucr\u0103rile de construc\u021bii de aproximativ 7%.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

A\u0219tept\u0103ri pesimiste ale afacerilor \u0219i ale popula\u021biei<\/h3>\n

A\u0219tept\u0103rile afacerilor pentru primul trimestru al anului 2025 sunt cele mai pesimiste din ultimii doi ani. Contrac\u021bia general\u0103 a economiei este prognozat\u0103 la 10%, semnificativ mai proast\u0103 dec\u00e2t sc\u0103derea de 1,4% \u00eenregistrat\u0103 anul trecut. Motivele acestei situa\u021bii sunt problemele financiare cu care s-au confruntat aproape dou\u0103 treimi din \u00eentreprinderile \u021b\u0103rii la sf\u00e2r\u0219itul anului 2024 \u0219i o sc\u0103dere a cererii (31,7% dintre antreprenori au raportat aceast\u0103 limitare).<\/p>\n

Pe baza acestui fapt, se prevede o sc\u0103dere \u00een toate sectoarele, dar cel mai mult vor avea de suferit micro\u00eentreprinderile. Potrivit lui Veaceslav Ioni\u021b\u0103, a\u0219tept\u0103rile lor sunt cele mai mici -12% fa\u021b\u0103 de cifrele din anul precedent. \u00cen acela\u0219i timp, exper\u021bii prev\u0103d c\u0103 \u00een 2025, pre\u021burile la alimente \u0219i m\u0103rfuri \u00een Moldova vor continua s\u0103 creasc\u0103, ceea ce este asociat cu sc\u0103derea a\u0219teptat\u0103 a activit\u0103\u021bii economice \u0219i a veniturilor din v\u00e2nz\u0103ri.<\/p>\n

Perspectivele pie\u021bei imobiliare<\/h3>\n

Exper\u021bii imobiliari prev\u0103d c\u0103 pre\u021burile locuin\u021belor vor continua s\u0103 creasc\u0103 \u00een 2025, dar \u00eentr-un ritm mai lent dec\u00e2t \u00een \u200b\u200b2024. Astfel, Vasile Kuchuk, broker imobiliar, presupune c\u0103 pre\u021burile locuin\u021belor vor cre\u0219te cu aproximativ 5-8% \u00een 2025 odat\u0103 cu dezvoltarea unor zone precum Ciocana \u0219i Buiucani, care vor atrage noi dezvoltatori.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Economistul Valeriu Prohnitsky a atras aten\u021bia asupra faptului c\u0103, din 2019 p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2024, pre\u021burile imobiliarelor au crescut de aproape 2 ori, iar num\u0103rul creditelor pentru locuin\u021be emise a dobor\u00e2t recordurile de dou\u0103 ori: \u00een 2021 \u0219i 2024. Potrivit acestuia, acest lucru indic\u0103 o cre\u0219tere a accesibilit\u0103\u021bii locuin\u021belor.<\/p>\n

Expertul citeaz\u0103 cifre: dac\u0103 \u00een 2018-2020, adic\u0103 \u00eenainte de cre\u0219terea rapid\u0103 a pre\u021burilor, raportul dintre salariul mediu \u0219i costul unui metru p\u0103trat de spa\u021biu de locuit era de aproximativ 0,65, atunci \u00een 2021-2024 raportul este deja aproximativ 0,68. \u201eCre\u0219terea salariilor a dep\u0103\u0219it cre\u0219terea pre\u021burilor la locuin\u021be \u00eentre 2017 \u0219i 2023. Pre\u021burile reale \u00een lei, ajustate pentru infla\u021bie \u0219i cursul de schimb, au r\u0103mas stabile din 2013! Acest lucru este important pentru c\u0103 veniturile sunt exprimate \u00een lei, iar pre\u021burile locuin\u021belor sunt \u00een euro\u201d, explic\u0103 Prokhnitsky.<\/p>\n

Cu toate acestea, tendin\u021bele pozitive pot fi compensate de doi factori: introducerea unor taxe suplimentare, \u00een special, taxe de mediu pentru dezvoltatori \u0219i o nou\u0103 tax\u0103 pentru cump\u0103r\u0103torii de case, precum \u0219i o cre\u0219tere a ratei cheie. Astfel, Veaceslav Ioni\u021b\u0103 a calculat c\u0103 \u201ela fiecare cre\u0219tere cu 4% a dob\u00e2nzii de baz\u0103, dob\u00e2nzile ipotecare cresc cu aproximativ 1%. Astfel, dup\u0103 ultima cre\u0219tere, dob\u00e2nzile la creditele ipotecare vor ajunge de la 6,9% pe an la 7,9% pe an.\u201d Pentru un cump\u0103r\u0103tor de locuin\u021b\u0103, aceasta va fi o cheltuial\u0103 semnificativ\u0103: o cre\u0219tere de doar 1 punct procentual \u00eenseamn\u0103 un cost suplimentar de 13.000 de lei pentru fiecare an de ipotec\u0103.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Taxe noi \u2013 pre\u021buri noi pentru apartamente La sf\u00e2r\u0219itul anului trecut, Guvernul Republicii Moldova a prezentat proiectul Tranzi\u021bie Durabil\u0103 la Eficien\u021ba Energetic\u0103 \u00een Moldova (STEEM) \u00een cadrul programului M-GROW. Cu toate acestea, certificarea obligatorie a cl\u0103dirilor \u0219i auditurile energetice au atras critici din partea proprietarilor \u0219i dezvoltatorilor de propriet\u0103\u021bi. Principala problem\u0103 este c\u0103 auditul energetic […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":12174,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[94,98],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-12173","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-analytics","8":"category-analytics-economie-si-finante"},"yoast_head":"\nPia\u021ba imobiliar\u0103 din Moldova \u00een 2025: noi riscuri \u0219i oportunit\u0103\u021bi - MLD-Index<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Din 2019 p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2024, pre\u021burile imobiliare aproape s-au dublat. 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