{"id":21861,"date":"2026-11-06T10:00:42","date_gmt":"2026-11-06T07:00:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mld-index.info\/?p=21861"},"modified":"2026-11-06T10:54:26","modified_gmt":"2026-11-06T07:54:26","slug":"lucrurile-merg-bine-cadem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mld-index.info\/ro\/stiri\/lucrurile-merg-bine-cadem\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucrurile merg bine. C\u0103dem!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>06.11.2026<\/p>\n<p>Comitetul executiv al B\u0103ncii Na\u021bionale a majorat rata de baz\u0103 cu 2 puncte procentuale \u2013 de la 9 la 11%. BNM a explicat decizia prin presiunea infla\u021bionist\u0103 \u0219i cre\u0219terea riscurilor pentru stabilitatea pre\u021burilor pe termen mediu.<\/p>\n<p>\u201eAceste ac\u021biuni sunt menite s\u0103 tempereze presiunea din partea cererii agregate, inclusiv prin stimularea economisirii \u0219i reducerea consumului, s\u0103 limiteze propagarea efectelor infla\u021bioniste secundare ale major\u0103rii tarifelor reglementate la resursele energetice, precum \u0219i s\u0103 ancoreze a\u0219tept\u0103rile infla\u021bioniste\u201d, se arat\u0103 \u00een comunicatul BNM.<\/p>\n<p>\u00cen cadrul regulatorului financiar se consider\u0103 c\u0103 infla\u021bia va cre\u0219te p\u00e2n\u0103 la sf\u00e2r\u0219itul anului, apoi va \u00eencepe s\u0103 scad\u0103 \u0219i abia \u00een trimestrul al treilea al anului 2027 va reveni \u00een coridorul stabilit de 5% \u00b1 1,5 puncte procentuale. \u00cen acest interval, potrivit oracolelor bancare, infla\u021bia va r\u0103m\u00e2ne p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een trimestrul al doilea al anului 2028.<\/p>\n<p>BNM prognozeaz\u0103, de asemenea, c\u0103 infla\u021bia medie anual\u0103 va constitui 7,3% \u00een 2026 \u0219i 6,9% \u00een 2027. \u00cen septembrie, reamintim, infla\u021bia anual\u0103 era la nivelul de 8,6%, ceea ce este cu 1,64% mai mult dec\u00e2t \u00een august.<\/p>\n<p>Majoritatea exper\u021bilor economici, \u00eens\u0103, au supus unei critici dure terapia de \u0219oc a b\u0103ncii na\u021bionale \u0219i nu \u00eemp\u0103rt\u0103\u0219esc prognozele optimiste ale BNM.<\/p>\n<p>\u201eInfla\u021bia actual\u0103 din Republica Moldova este cauzat\u0103 \u00een mare m\u0103sur\u0103 de scumpirea resurselor energetice, \u0219i nu de cererea excesiv\u0103 a consumatorilor. O rat\u0103 a dob\u00e2nzii ridicat\u0103 nu va face gazul, energia electric\u0103 sau combustibilul mai ieftine. Ea poate fr\u00e2na propagarea ulterioar\u0103 a infla\u021biei, dar \u00een acela\u0219i timp limiteaz\u0103 creditarea, investi\u021biile \u0219i consumul. \u0218i aici apare o \u00eentrebare fireasc\u0103: c\u00e2t de justificat\u0103 este o \u00een\u0103sprire at\u00e2t de brusc\u0103 a politicii monetare, c\u00e2nd economia a crescut \u00een primul semestru cu doar 0,6%? \u00cen opinia mea, Banca Na\u021bional\u0103 \u00eencearc\u0103 acum s\u0103 combat\u0103 infla\u021bia cu un instrument care poate fi prea scump pentru o economie slab\u0103. Pericolul const\u0103 \u00een faptul c\u0103 putem ob\u021bine simultan pre\u021buri mari, credite scumpe \u0219i o \u00eencetinire suplimentar\u0103 a cre\u0219terii economice\u201d, este convins fostul director al Biroului Na\u021bional de Statistic\u0103, Marin Gospodarenco, care prevede o cre\u0219tere a infla\u021biei \u00een lunile urm\u0103toare p\u00e2n\u0103 la 10-12%.<\/p>\n<p>Prognozele pesimiste sunt \u00eemp\u0103rt\u0103\u0219ite \u0219i de expertul institutului IDIS Viitorul, Veaceslav Ioni\u021b\u0103: \u201eMajorarea ratei nu influen\u021beaz\u0103 nimic \u0219i nu schimb\u0103 nimic. Deocamdat\u0103, toat\u0103 infla\u021bia este importat\u0103 \u2013 resurse energetice. Tarifele la \u00eenc\u0103lzire au crescut deja, iar \u00een viitorul apropiat se a\u0219teapt\u0103 o cre\u0219tere a tarifelor \u0219i la energia electric\u0103. Ecoul energeticii se va resim\u021bi \u0219i \u00een toate celelalte sfere.<\/p>\n<p>A comentat cre\u0219terea brusc\u0103 a ratei dob\u00e2nzii \u0219i prim-ministrul Republicii Moldova, Vasile Tofan, \u00een cadrul raportului privind primele 100 de zile de activitate ale guvernului s\u0103u. \u0218eful Cabinetului de Mini\u0219tri a f\u0103cut acest lucru \u00een stilul \u201eDar eu nu am nicio vin\u0103!\u201d: \u201e\u00cen fiecare stat democratic al lumii, regulatorul monetar are independen\u021b\u0103 \u0219i ia decizii privind rata dob\u00e2nzii pe baza indicatorilor infla\u021biei, \u0219i nu la un telefon din partea guvernului\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Dar atunci, se \u00eentreab\u0103, cine ar trebui s\u0103 lupte cu infla\u021bia? Autorit\u0103\u021bile \u021b\u0103rii sau Papa de la Roma? Sau Vasile Tofan este \u00eenc\u0103 convins c\u0103 prin rug\u0103ciuni poate fi oprit conflictul din Orientul Mijlociu \u0219i, prin urmare, cre\u0219terea pre\u021burilor la resursele energetice. Sau poate ar merita s\u0103 se adreseze din nou Cerurilor, pentru ca acestea, \u00een urma cre\u0219terii infla\u021biei, s\u0103 le majoreze cet\u0103\u021benilor Republicii Moldova \u0219i salariile?<\/p>\n<p>\u00cen acest context, reamintim \u0219i conferin\u021ba inutil\u0103 care a avut loc la Chi\u0219in\u0103u la \u00eenceputul lunii octombrie curente, cu tema \u201eSalariul de existen\u021b\u0103 orientat social \u0219i salariul decent\u201d. Aceast\u0103 \u00eentrunire, la care s-a vorbit despre responsabilitatea autorit\u0103\u021bilor pentru o via\u021b\u0103 decent\u0103 a moldovenilor, a fost organizat\u0103 de Funda\u021bia german\u0103 Friedrich Ebert Stiftung \u0219i dedicat\u0103 Zilei Mondiale a Muncii Decente. Speciali\u0219tii din Germania au afirmat la eveniment c\u0103 lucr\u0103torii adul\u021bi din Republica Moldova ar trebui s\u0103 primeasc\u0103 lunar \u00een medie 34 de mii de lei (1,7 mii de euro), ceea ce dep\u0103\u0219e\u0219te cu mult veniturile majorit\u0103\u021bii moldovenilor \u0219i este de aproape dou\u0103 ori mai mare dec\u00e2t salariul mediu din sectorul real al economiei. \u00cens\u0103 germanii nu au indicat c\u0103i reale pentru asigurarea unei vie\u021bi decente a b\u0103\u0219tina\u0219ilor locali, \u00een afar\u0103, desigur, de aderarea lor la Uniunea European\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>\u00cen general, situa\u021bia economic\u0103 \u00een contextul \u00eencerc\u0103rilor disperate ale cet\u0103\u021benilor Republicii Moldova de a se men\u021bine la suprafa\u021b\u0103 \u00een furtunoasa mare infla\u021bionist\u0103 arat\u0103 ca discu\u021bia din timpul unui zbor de lupt\u0103 a comandantului de escadril\u0103 Maestro cu serviciul terestru din filmul \u201e\u00cen lupt\u0103 merg doar b\u0103tr\u00e2nii\u201d. \u201eCe faci, Maestro?\u201d \u2013 \u201eNormal, cad!\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>06.11.2026 Comitetul executiv al B\u0103ncii Na\u021bionale a majorat rata de baz\u0103 cu 2 puncte procentuale \u2013 de la 9 la 11%. BNM a explicat decizia prin presiunea infla\u021bionist\u0103 \u0219i cre\u0219terea riscurilor pentru stabilitatea pre\u021burilor pe termen mediu. \u201eAceste ac\u021biuni sunt menite s\u0103 tempereze presiunea din partea cererii agregate, inclusiv prin stimularea economisirii \u0219i reducerea consumului, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":21862,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[103,99],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-21861","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economie-si-finante","category-stiri"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Lucrurile merg bine. C\u0103dem! - MLD-Index<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Banca Na\u021bional\u0103 a Moldovei (BNM) a majorat brusc rata de baz\u0103. 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