{"id":2853,"date":"2023-03-09T14:00:19","date_gmt":"2023-03-09T11:00:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mld-index.info\/?p=2853"},"modified":"2023-03-13T18:46:47","modified_gmt":"2023-03-13T15:46:47","slug":"transnistria-pie-intre-rusia-si-nato","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mld-index.info\/ro\/analytics\/transnistria-pie-intre-rusia-si-nato\/","title":{"rendered":"Transnistria pie: \u00eentre Rusia \u0219i NATO"},"content":{"rendered":"

Cronologia colapsului<\/strong><\/p>\n

La \u00eenceputul lunii februarie, Guvernul Republicii Moldova adopt\u0103 o lege privind separatismul. Pentru crimele \u00eempotriva integrit\u0103\u021bii Republicii Moldova, spionajul \u0219i altele asemenea, precum \u0219i ascunderea acestor fapte, se confrunt\u0103 acum cu un termen real. Liderii Pridnestroviei \u0219i G\u0103g\u0103uziei au reac\u021bionat imediat la ini\u021biativa legislativ\u0103, suger\u00e2nd c\u0103 ini\u021biativa este represiv\u0103 \u0219i \u00eendreptat\u0103 \u00eempotriva locuitorilor ATO \u0219i a republicii nerecunoscute. Autorit\u0103\u021bile oficiale au asigurat c\u0103 nu au avut astfel de obiective, dar legea nu a fost retras\u0103 \u0219i modific\u0103rile aduse acesteia nu au fost \u00eenc\u0103 elaborate.<\/p>\n

Apoi, Pre\u0219edintele Ucrainei, Vladimir Zelensky, \u00eei ofer\u0103 Maya Sand un anumit pachet de documente secrete care au fost interceptate de serviciile secrete ucrainene. Documentele con\u021bin nu mai pu\u021bin de un plan rusesc de a desf\u0103\u0219ura ac\u021biuni subversive \u00een Moldova. S-a \u00eent\u00e2mplat vineri, 9 februarie.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

P\u00e2n\u0103 luni, pre\u0219edintele \u021b\u0103rii noastre a luat o pauz\u0103 \u0219i nu a comentat \u00een niciun fel situa\u021bia. Cu toate acestea, \u00een cele din urm\u0103, ea a confirmat \u00eenc\u0103 faptul c\u0103 a primit documentele \u0219i con\u021binutul acestora. Planurile includ a\u0219ez\u0103ri, scenariul ac\u021biunilor \u0219i chiar grupuri aproximative de oameni pe care sabotorii ar trebui s\u0103 se bazeze, a spus Sandu. Organizatorii ac\u021biunii urmau s\u0103 fie cet\u0103\u021beni din Belarus, Rusia \u0219i o serie de \u021b\u0103ri balcanice.<\/p>\n

Luni, \u0219i chiar 13 este un semn r\u0103u. De aceea, a doua jum\u0103tate a lunii februarie a \u00eenceput imediat cu o serie de \u0219tiri de profil. \u00cen primul r\u00e2nd, rachetele ruse\u0219ti Kalibr au fost reperate pe teritoriul Rom\u00e2niei \u0219i Moldovei, ale c\u0103ror epave vor fi g\u0103site ulterior la grani\u021ba transnistrean\u0103. Apoi-un apel urgent al ambasadorului rus la Ministerul de Externe de la Chi\u0219in\u0103u \u0219i pu\u021bin mai t\u00e2rziu \u2013 o declara\u021bie oficial\u0103 privind dizolvarea guvernului. <\/p>\n

Cu toate acestea, declara\u021biile ini\u021biale despre dispersarea complet\u0103 a Cabinetului de Mini\u0219tri nu au fost confirmate: au r\u0103mas doar 3 oficiali. Chiar \u0219i Ministrul Ap\u0103r\u0103rii \u0219i-a p\u0103strat scaunul, c\u0103ruia \u0219eful statului a avut cel mai probabil \u00eentreb\u0103ri dup\u0103 \u0219tirile despre rachetele ruse\u0219ti care zboar\u0103 calm pe teritoriul \u021b\u0103rii. <\/p>\n

Doar c\u00e2teva zile mai t\u00e2rziu, componen\u021ba noului guvern a fost anun\u021bat\u0103 cu un nou prim-ministru \u00een frunte. \u0218i a \u00eenceput o nou\u0103 rund\u0103 de probleme pentru Transnistria.<\/p>\n

(De) militarizare<\/strong><\/p>\n

Dorin Rechan, coleg \u0219i coleg de partid al Maya Sandu, a devenit pre\u0219edintele noului Cabinet de Mini\u0219tri, care a vorbit destul de dur despre soarta republicii nerecunoscute. <\/p>\n

Potrivit lui, Transnistria ar trebui demilitarizat\u0103, iar apoi putem vorbi. Pu\u021bin mai devreme, \u00eencerc\u0103rile Tiraspolului de a ajunge cel pu\u021bin la consult\u0103ri preliminare cu Republica Moldova privind reglementarea transnistrean\u0103 au e\u0219uat. Vicepremierul pentru Reintegrare Oleg Serebryan s-a referit la situa\u021bia geopolitic\u0103 \u00een care negocierile \u00een formatul 5+2 (cu participarea Rusiei \u0219i Ucrainei) sunt imposibile.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Tiraspolul, la r\u00e2ndul s\u0103u, a declarat c\u0103 este gata s\u0103 apere drepturile cet\u0103\u021benilor s\u0103i dac\u0103 sunt acuza\u021bi de infrac\u021biuni specificate \u00een noua lege Moldoveneasc\u0103 privind separatismul. Regiunea nu se gr\u0103be\u0219te s\u0103 se dezarmeze, mai ales dup\u0103 provocarea din 28 februarie, c\u00e2nd au sunat alarme false de aer la TV \u0219i radio \u00een mai multe regiuni ale Federa\u021biei Ruse \u0219i Transnistriei. <\/p>\n

\u0218i \u00een timp ce Rusia \u0219i Ucraina \u00ee\u0219i dau seama ai cui hackeri au organizat acest sabotaj, Tiraspolul a anun\u021bat exerci\u021bii militare de trei luni \u00een regiune. Aparent, aceast\u0103 decizie este cauzat\u0103 de \u00eengrijorarea pe care autorit\u0103\u021bile din regiune \u0219i-au exprimat-o chiar \u00eenainte de circumstan\u021bele men\u021bionate mai sus. Ministrul de Externe al pridnestroviei, Vitaly Ignatiev, cu doar c\u00e2teva zile \u00eenainte de incident, a f\u0103cut o declara\u021bie \u00een care a men\u021bionat c\u0103 situa\u021bia din Pridnestrovie r\u0103m\u00e2ne tensionat\u0103. Autorit\u0103\u021bile din regiunea nerecunoscut\u0103 urm\u0103resc cu \u00eengrijorare activit\u0103\u021bile Chi\u0219in\u0103ului, care se \u00eendreapt\u0103 spre o apropiere clar\u0103 de blocul NATO.<\/p>\n

Joc De Cuvinte<\/strong><\/p>\n

Situa\u021bia care se desf\u0103\u0219oar\u0103 \u00een jurul Transnistriei seam\u0103n\u0103 cu un bulg\u0103re de z\u0103pad\u0103.<\/p>\n

P\u0103r\u021bile la conflict fac schimb de acuza\u021bii, st\u00e2rnind isterie \u0219i cre\u00e2nd zgomot Informa\u021bional: exper\u021bii moldoveni \u0219i ucraineni acuz\u0103 Rusia \u0219i Transnistria de coluziune, Rusia avertizeaz\u0103 asupra provoc\u0103rilor din Ucraina\u2026
\nAstfel, la 1 martie, Ministerul rus de Externe a emis o declara\u021bie conform c\u0103reia autorit\u0103\u021bile ucrainene aduceau materiale radioactive la grani\u021ba cu Transnistria pentru a simula un atac rus asupra instala\u021biilor nucleare ale Ucrainei. Tiraspolul a negat aceast\u0103 declara\u021bie, cu toate acestea, conducerea For\u021belor Armate ale Ucrainei \u2013 de la care autorit\u0103\u021bile transnistrene nu se a\u0219teptau Exact la sprijin \u2013 a confirmat faptul tragerii for\u021belor la frontier\u0103, precum \u0219i construirea unor fortifica\u021bii militare suplimentare.<\/p>\n

\u00cen acela\u0219i timp, politicienii militari ucraineni \u00eencearc\u0103 s\u0103 netezeasc\u0103 verbal situa\u021bia. Astfel, potrivit comandantului Natalia Gumenyuk, amenin\u021b\u0103rile din Federa\u021bia rus\u0103 \u0219i Transnistria r\u0103m\u00e2n „ipotetice”.<\/p>\n

Evident, \u00een timp ce un joc de cuvinte are loc \u00een domeniul informa\u021biilor, oficialii militari \u00eencearc\u0103 s\u0103 asigure grani\u021bele statelor lor \u2013 fiecare din partea lor.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Alte scenarii<\/strong><\/p>\n

De fapt, exist\u0103 mai multe op\u021biuni pentru dezvoltarea evenimentelor pentru Transnistria chiar acum. P\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een prezent, for\u021bele militare ruse continu\u0103 s\u0103 fie \u00een regiune, care, potrivit Ministerului Afacerilor Externe al Tiraspolului Valery Ignatiev, ac\u021bioneaz\u0103 ca un „garant al p\u0103cii \u0219i stabilit\u0103\u021bii.”<\/p>\n

Cu toate acestea, evolu\u021bia ulterioar\u0103 a evenimentelor nu a fost determinat\u0103 \u2013 nu degeaba republica nerecunoscut\u0103 a \u00eenceput s\u0103 se \u00eenarmeze \u00eencet \u0219i s\u0103 se preg\u0103teasc\u0103 pentru o invazie.<\/p>\n

Din partea cui va avea loc prima ac\u021biune, marea \u00eentrebare este. Cu toate acestea, mass-media este plin\u0103 de retoric\u0103 anti-rus\u0103.<\/p>\n

Un expert \u00een domeniul geopoliticii, Armand Goshu, este \u00eencrez\u0103tor c\u0103 conflictul va fi provocat de Rusia, care folose\u0219te Tiraspolul pentru a \u00eent\u00e2rzia trupele ucrainene. „Pariul lui Putin este de a extinde Frontul ostilit\u0103\u021bilor \u00eempotriva Ucrainei” \u0219i de a preveni transferul de for\u021be de la Odessa la Donbass, crede Gosha. <\/p>\n

Expertul Ministerului Ap\u0103r\u0103rii, Marin Butuk, consider\u0103 c\u0103 exerci\u021biile militare nu sunt altceva dec\u00e2t o \u00eencercare de a „juca cu mu\u0219chii” \u0219i de a crea efectul unei prezen\u021be militare \u00een regiune pentru a-\u0219i men\u021bine independen\u021ba fa\u021b\u0103 de Moldova. <\/p>\n

„Cu dinamica pe care o avem, lucrurile merg \u00eempotriva existen\u021bei acestei regiuni separatiste. \u00centreaga lume este mobilizat\u0103 \u00eempotriva acestui r\u0103zboi \u00eenceput de Federa\u021bia rus\u0103 \u0219i, crede\u021bi-m\u0103, nimeni nu va veni s\u0103 sus\u021bin\u0103 \u0219i s\u0103 tolereze prezen\u021ba acestui element separatist nemotivat aici, pe malul st\u00e2ng al Nistrului. \u0218i atunci totul se va termina de la sine”, este sigur Butuk.<\/p>\n

Ce crede NATO?<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00cen aceste condi\u021bii, Moldova se poate baza doar pe arme str\u0103ine, \u00een primul r\u00e2nd pe for\u021bele Uniunii Europene \u0219i NATO. Acesta din urm\u0103, \u00eens\u0103, nu a dezam\u0103git Moldova \u00een declara\u021biile de anul trecut c\u0103 \u021bara noastr\u0103 nu se gr\u0103be\u0219te s\u0103 adere la Alian\u021b\u0103. Secretarul general adjunct al NATO, Mircea Joane, a declarat \u00eentr-un mod simplificat c\u0103 Republica Moldova este doar un partener, nu un membru al NATO. Ca r\u0103spuns la \u00eentrebarea unui jurnalist, el a subliniat c\u0103 „a fi neutru nu \u00eenseamn\u0103 c\u0103 nu ai for\u021bele pentru a-\u021bi proteja teritoriul \u0219i popula\u021bia \u0218i asta \u00een ciuda faptului c\u0103 autorit\u0103\u021bile \u021b\u0103rii, conduse de pre\u0219edinte \u0219i prim-ministru, \u0219i-au schimbat brusc retorica \u00een PRO-NATO din ianuarie. <\/p>\n

Ei bine, sfatul unuia dintre liderii NATO de a se baza pe propriile for\u021be \u00een caz de r\u0103zboi ar fi bun, dac\u0103 nu pentru un „dar”. \u00cen ianuarie, expertul moldovean men\u021bionat anterior Butuk a declarat c\u0103 armata moldoveneasc\u0103 este considerat\u0103 una dintre cele mai mici \u0219i mai pu\u021bin finan\u021bate din lume. Prin urmare, \u00een clasamentul global al puterii de foc a for\u021belor armate, Republica Moldova ocup\u0103 locul 143 din 145.<\/p>\n

Trebuie s\u0103 ne concentr\u0103m pe vecinii no\u0219tri cei mai apropia\u021bi \u0219i chiar s\u0103 cont\u0103m pe ajutorul Ucrainei. La aproape o lun\u0103 dup\u0103 ce a observat filosofic zborul rachetelor ruse\u0219ti peste \u021bar\u0103, premierul Dorin Rechan a spus c\u0103 se bazeaz\u0103 pe „capacit\u0103\u021bile ap\u0103r\u0103rii aeriene a Ucrainei \u0219i ne sim\u021bim proteja\u021bi de aceste mijloace de ap\u0103rare aerian\u0103.” <\/p>\n

Dac\u0103 v\u0103 \u00eentoarce\u021bi pu\u021bin \u0219i v\u0103 aminti\u021bi dizolvarea brusc\u0103 a Guvernului \u0219i declara\u021biile foarte controversate ale Maya Sandu, este pu\u021bin de crezut \u00een securitate. <\/p>\n

Este evident c\u0103 autorit\u0103\u021bile moldovene\u0219ti escaladeaz\u0103 situa\u021bia din Transnistria, \u00eencerc\u00e2nd „sub masca” s\u0103 for\u021beze intrarea \u021b\u0103rii \u00een blocurile politice interna\u021bionale \u2013 UE \u0219i NATO. Cu toate acestea, pre\u021bul pentru aderare poate fi prea mare, deoarece este pu\u021bin probabil ca Rusia s\u0103 stea cu m\u00e2inile \u00een s\u00e2n dac\u0103 for\u021bele dispuse agresiv fa\u021b\u0103 de Tiraspol trec de la cuvinte la ac\u021biune.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Cronologia colapsului La \u00eenceputul lunii februarie, Guvernul Republicii Moldova adopt\u0103 o lege privind separatismul. Pentru crimele \u00eempotriva integrit\u0103\u021bii Republicii Moldova, spionajul \u0219i altele asemenea, precum \u0219i ascunderea acestor fapte, se confrunt\u0103 acum cu un termen real. Liderii Pridnestroviei \u0219i G\u0103g\u0103uziei au reac\u021bionat imediat la ini\u021biativa legislativ\u0103, suger\u00e2nd c\u0103 ini\u021biativa este represiv\u0103 \u0219i \u00eendreptat\u0103 \u00eempotriva locuitorilor […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2855,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[94,96],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-2853","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-analytics","8":"category-analytics-politica"},"yoast_head":"\nTransnistria pie: \u00eentre Rusia \u0219i NATO - MLD-Index<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Poate c\u0103 unul dintre cele mai fierbin\u021bi subiecte din ultima lun\u0103 r\u0103m\u00e2ne soarta Republicilor independente cu g\u00e2ndire rus\u0103 din Moldova \u2013 ...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/mld-index.info\/analitika\/pridnestrovskij-pirog-mezhdu-rossiej-i-nato\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ro_RO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Transnistria pie: \u00eentre Rusia \u0219i NATO - 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