{"id":5699,"date":"2023-09-12T14:00:53","date_gmt":"2023-09-12T11:00:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mld-index.info\/?p=5699"},"modified":"2023-10-29T12:09:48","modified_gmt":"2023-10-29T09:09:48","slug":"totul-a-scapat-de-sub-control","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mld-index.info\/ro\/analytics\/totul-a-scapat-de-sub-control\/","title":{"rendered":"Totul a sc\u0103pat de sub control"},"content":{"rendered":"

Suntem \u00een cre\u0219tere!<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00cen ianuarie 2023, publica\u021bia „Sputnik.Moldova”, al c\u0103rui director a fost expulzat din \u021bara noastr\u0103 nu cu mult timp \u00een urm\u0103, a raportat c\u0103 pe parcursul anului ponderea datoriei publice \u00een PIB a crescut cu 2,1% \u0219i acesta este un nou maxim istoric \u2013 precedentul a fost \u00eenregistrat cu doar c\u00e2teva luni mai devreme, \u00een noiembrie 2022, \u0219i s-a ridicat la 90,7 miliarde de lei.<\/p>\n

Situa\u021bia nu este \u00eembun\u0103t\u0103\u021bit\u0103 prin injec\u021bii financiare nesf\u00e2r\u0219ite de la parteneri externi, dintre care doar o mic\u0103 parte este gratuit\u0103. Numai \u00een 2022, datoria public\u0103 extern\u0103 a Republicii Moldova a crescut cu 35,3%.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Cu toate acestea, un num\u0103r de economi\u0219ti nu consider\u0103 aceste tendin\u021be periculoase. „Raportul datorie \/ PIB \u00een Moldova este de 36,1%, ceea ce este aproape de dou\u0103 ori mai mic dec\u00e2t plafonul de 60-70%, care este considerat periculos sau instabil pentru o \u021bar\u0103 \u00een curs de dezvoltare”, comenteaz\u0103 expertul \u00een finan\u021be publice comunitare asupra situa\u021biei WatchDog.MD Marin Gospodirenko.<\/p>\n

„Exist\u0103 doi indicatori principali: ponderea datoriei publice \u00een PIB. Nu trebuie s\u0103 dep\u0103\u0219easc\u0103 60% din PIB. Aceasta nu este prima astfel de criz\u0103, o situa\u021bie similar\u0103 cu datoria na\u021bional\u0103 a fost \u00een 2020. \u0218i datoria noastr\u0103 na\u021bional\u0103 este mic\u0103, \u00een compara\u021bie cu unele \u021b\u0103ri europene, unde este de p\u00e2n\u0103 la 88%”, a declarat ministrul Finan\u021belor, Veronica Sire\u021beanu.<\/p>\n

Cu toate acestea, reprezentan\u021bii opozi\u021biei consider\u0103 c\u0103 motivele falsului optimism sunt ascunderea situa\u021biei reale. „Ei Tac despre cre\u0219terea datoriei publice \u0219i dublarea costurilor de deservire a datoriei publice, sau cum TAC despre cre\u0219terea de 2,4 ori a actualului deficit al datoriei publice \u00een doi ani \u2013 „succese” care nu au existat”, a declarat Vlad Filat, pre\u0219edintele Partidului Liberal Democrat.<\/p>\n

Politicianul dezonorat Ilan Shor este \u0219i mai categoric. „Datoria intern\u0103 \u0219i extern\u0103 a Republicii Moldova s-a ridicat la 100 de miliarde de lei. \u00cenainte ca ace\u0219ti bandi\u021bi condu\u0219i de Sandu s\u0103 ajung\u0103 la putere, aceasta era de 50 de miliarde de lei. \u0218i \u00een timp ce oamenii se \u00eeneac\u0103 \u00een s\u0103r\u0103cie, guvernul a alocat 2,5 miliarde de lei ca dob\u00e2nd\u0103 la \u00eemprumuturile din Occident. Pentru c\u0103 Occidentul nu este angajat \u00een caritate”, a spus Shor \u00een emisiunea ” SHOR.Tr\u0103ie\u0219te”.<\/p>\n

Cum a fost cu al\u021bii?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Moldova ocup\u0103 acum locul 7 \u00een top 10 \u021b\u0103ri europene cu cea mai mic\u0103 pondere a datoriei publice \u00een PIB. <\/p>\n

Cu toate acestea, Sergey Banar este sigur c\u0103 aceasta este o pauz\u0103 de scurt\u0103 durat\u0103. „Cre\u0219terea datoriei publice totale a Republicii Moldova la 100 de miliarde de lei indic\u0103 faptul c\u0103 situa\u021bia este complet sc\u0103pat\u0103 de sub control, nimeni nu \u00een\u021belege ce s\u0103 fac\u0103 cu aceast\u0103 situa\u021bie”, a spus economistul.<\/p>\n

Liderii mondiali \u00een datoria public\u0103 sunt Singapore, SUA \u0219i Japonia. \u00cen ceea ce prive\u0219te ponderea PIB, primele 3 arat\u0103 diferit: Japonia (250% din PIB), Grecia, Liban.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Rela\u021biile dintre statele unite \u0219i Japonia necesit\u0103 un articol separat. \u00cen Grecia, managementul financiar extern a fost introdus \u00een urm\u0103 cu c\u00e2\u021biva ani, iar \u021bara a r\u0103mas de fapt f\u0103r\u0103 capacitatea de a-\u0219i gestiona independent activele financiare \u0219i economia \u00een ansamblu.<\/p>\n

Libanul a refuzat pl\u0103\u021bile obligatorii acum 3 ani-aproape jum\u0103tate din veniturile statului au mers la plata datoriei na\u021bionale. „\u00cen loc s\u0103 reformeze economia, s-au acumulat datorii, ceea ce a dat na\u0219tere corup\u021biei la scar\u0103 larg\u0103. Sistemul bancar existent a permis unei mici minorit\u0103\u021bi s\u0103 ob\u021bin\u0103 profit, \u00een timp ce 40% dintre cet\u0103\u021beni erau sub pragul s\u0103r\u0103ciei”, a comentat Hassan Diab, pre\u0219edintele noului guvern numit.<\/p>\n

\u021aara se confrunt\u0103 cu o alegere dificil\u0103-s\u0103 continue s\u0103 \u00eemprumute de la FMI sau s\u0103 blocheze banii str\u0103ini \u00een interiorul statului. Acesta din urm\u0103 este plin de proceduri \u00een instan\u021bele interna\u021bionale \u0219i confiscarea ulterioar\u0103 a bunurilor care au fost garan\u021bii pentru \u00eemprumuturi, p\u00e2n\u0103 la infrastructur\u0103 \u0219i \u00eentreprinderi de stat.<\/p>\n

Alegere dificil\u0103<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u021aara noastr\u0103 urmeaz\u0103 \u00een continuare calea Greciei \u2013 c\u00e2\u0219tig\u00e2nd din ce \u00een ce mai multe \u00eemprumuturi de la FMI. De asemenea, ajut\u0103 Moldova gratuit \u2013 acela\u0219i USAID transfer\u0103 \u00een mod constant sume considerabile pentru a sprijini economia na\u021bional\u0103. <\/p>\n

Dar \u00eentrebarea Ce s\u0103 dea este deja destul de acut\u0103 pentru conducerea Moldovei \u0219i a partidului pas de guvern\u0103m\u00e2nt. \u00cen ciuda faptului c\u0103 exist\u0103 trei niveluri de alegeri pe nas, pe care PAS inten\u021bioneaz\u0103 s\u0103 le c\u00e2\u0219tige, ca \u0219i cele anterioare.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

\u0218i \u00eentrebarea nu este nici m\u0103car ce fel de tensiune interna\u021bional\u0103 poate amenin\u021ba datoria na\u021bional\u0103 \u00een cre\u0219tere. Mai mult de jum\u0103tate din popula\u021bia \u021b\u0103rii este mai \u00een v\u00e2rst\u0103 sau aproape de v\u00e2rsta de pensionare \u0219i, potrivit ultimului studiu confirmat de Ministerul Muncii, 2\/3 dintre tineri nu sunt preg\u0103ti\u021bi s\u0103 lucreze pentru salariile oferite \u00een \u021bara noastr\u0103. Adic\u0103, pur \u0219i simplu nu exist\u0103 nimeni care s\u0103 creasc\u0103 economia, care ar trebui s\u0103 acopere \u00eemprumuturile \u00een cre\u0219tere.<\/p>\n

„Puterea de cump\u0103rare a popula\u021biei scade exponen\u021bial. Asist\u0103m la un nou val de ie\u0219ire a popula\u021biei. \u00cen acest moment, vedem cum \u021bara \u0219i statul se transform\u0103 \u00eentr\u2013un teritoriu dependent economic, dependent financiar, dependent politic \u0219i chiar dependent ideologic de a\u0219a-numi\u021bii parteneri externi”, crede Sergey Banar.<\/p>\n

Adic\u0103, \u00een acest scenariu, PAS ar putea c\u00e2\u0219tiga urm\u0103toarele alegeri parlamentare \u0219i preziden\u021biale, dar va fi decis nu de politicienii din \u021bar\u0103, ci de cei care sponsorizeaz\u0103 toate principalele programe sociale \u2013 FMI \u0219i Uniunea European\u0103.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Suntem \u00een cre\u0219tere! \u00cen ianuarie 2023, publica\u021bia „Sputnik.Moldova”, al c\u0103rui director a fost expulzat din \u021bara noastr\u0103 nu cu mult timp \u00een urm\u0103, a raportat c\u0103 pe parcursul anului ponderea datoriei publice \u00een PIB a crescut cu 2,1% \u0219i acesta este un nou maxim istoric \u2013 precedentul a fost \u00eenregistrat cu doar c\u00e2teva luni mai […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5700,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[94,98,96],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-5699","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-analytics","8":"category-analytics-economie-si-finante","9":"category-analytics-politica"},"yoast_head":"\nTotul a sc\u0103pat de sub control - MLD-Index<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Scenariul grecesc \u0219i dependen\u021ba financiar\u0103 complet\u0103 a Moldovei sunt prezise de economi\u0219ti-\u0219i totul pentru c\u0103 statul a acumulat ...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/mld-index.info\/analitika\/vsyo-vyshlo-iz-pod-kontrolya\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ro_RO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Totul a sc\u0103pat de sub control - 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